Wednesday, May 13, 2009

[RED DEMOCRATICA] CFR.org Daily News Brief, May 13, 2009



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May 13, 2009

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

- Heavy fighting in Swat; Pakistan's National Assembly backs military.
- Somalia fighting continues; 113 killed in five days.
- Bank of England lowers growth forecast.
- Sea border conference could sow discontent in East Asia.

Top of the Agenda: Fighting in Swat

Heavy fighting continued in Pakistan's Swat valley today as government fighter jets pounded Taliban rebel positions. Dawn reports some 15,000 troops have now poured into the region and are fighting roughly 4,000 heavily armed militants, in response to the Taliban's forceful campaign to enforce Islamic law across the region. http://m1e.net/c?101077382-.knmye5YD23jA%404241321-2XBEHeDo.ZCi%2e

Members of Pakistan's National Assembly, representing nearly all major political parties in the country, voted today to unanimously back Islamabad's military campaign against the Taliban (Daily Times). http://m1e.net/c?101077382-b0uAAUsd3UE3M%404241322-q.MnI/VTeQ4sk\05\13\story_13-5-2009_pg1_1

Fears continued to swirl, however, about the safety of displaced persons in the Swat and Malakand regions, which have seen the brunt of the fighting. The New York Times reported yesterday that some 1.3 million persons have now fled the fighting--numbers the article says reflect the severity of the conflict. http://m1e.net/c?101077382-PBG6cCGmomqBU%404241323-Neansu/lD15Q6 Pakistan's military chief said today that he has instructed the Army to go to lengths to avoid collateral damage and civilian deaths (The News). http://m1e.net/c?101077382-aTAvNfOqICLN6%404241324-mCvIHyFmuXhyc But CNN reports the sheer number of displaced persons has translated into a potential humanitarian crisis. http://m1e.net/c?101077382-0oN2CLc0rHrAM%404241325-IULA5k2wT0obA

Background and Analysis:

- In a recent interview, Brookings expert Bruce Riedel says Pakistan faces an "existential threat" from within and says there is a "real possibility of a jihadist state emerging." http://m1e.net/c?101077382-eUDXk.k07FMJ.%404241326-7B1vZ7pwAIKHk

- A recent policy options paper from CFR's Daniel Markey argues for making Pakistan the focus of Washington's strategy in the region, over Afghanistan. http://m1e.net/c?101077382-FLosLP6IH1lpU%404241327-nZLg5yt45hhHo

MIDEAST: Pope in West Bank

Meeting with Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas in the West Bank, Pope Benedict XVI repeated his call for a Palestinian state (al-Jazeera). http://m1e.net/c?101077382-vFWvTaqxrZ1VE%404241328-wvWdvGo/mdaVA

ISRAEL-LEBANON: The Associated Press reports Israel has put off plans to exit a Lebanese border town and will wait to see what happens in Lebanon's June 7 elections--which Hezbollah could potentially win--before deciding on a timeline for withdrawal. http://m1e.net/c?101077382-B7PbF43B/.y2.%404241329-dMJhqmOdTR18c

PACIFIC RIM: China Sea Border Claims

The BBC reports a UN maritime commission aiming to delineate international maritime boundaries appears set to create tensions between China and some of its neighbors. http://m1e.net/c?101077382-zWNAfQyJLuINE%404241330-7A4wHWuGarfP6

S.KOREA: Yonhap reports Seoul will invest roughly $10 billion in green technology growth over the next three years, with the goal of creating about half a million jobs. http://m1e.net/c?101077382-Xa3SZSKShyqqw%404241331-t73eORLESlUSQ

SOUTH & CENTRAL ASIA: Indian Elections

India's month-long general elections concluded today. Rediff reports the final rounds of voting have generally transpired calmly. http://m1e.net/c?101077382-5e3usIt0wGsKU%404241332-Bgqcu0jko7ROQ Results are due out Saturday (BBC). http://m1e.net/c?101077382-FzlzbWvIZHPP.%404241333-WVqLxvO6RA0FU

This Backgrounder explains what's at stake in the elections. http://m1e.net/c?101077382-1Tqb.HIUc53Ew%404241334-ohjm2V16ZhLLE

SRI LANKA: Al-Jazeera reports dozens of people were killed in the second attack on a hospital in Sri Lanka in twenty-four hours. http://m1e.net/c?101077382-iDcyeQYe.eIHY%404241335-3fVhqn1SP3wfI

AFRICA: Somalia Fighting

The AP reports Somalia's recent flare-up of violence has led to the deaths of 113 people in five three days and that tens of thousands have fled Mogadishu. http://m1e.net/c?101077382-jM4DnSiX.b7yg%404241336-TiHRNW/FSqDYw

Pro-government forces are battling militants from the al-Shabaab group, profiled here. http://m1e.net/c?101077382-JjVWMI/muf6QY%404241337-4Ge0or/6//h/k

S.AFRICA: Trade conditions are slumping in South Africa (Business Day). http://m1e.net/c?101077382-TdhCV/t5Moi5A%404241338-6nxTopPyNYhDg

AMERICAS: El Salvador Drug Violence

The Los Angeles Times reports El Salvador is battling to counter rising drug violence, but that corruption is undermining some of these efforts. http://m1e.net/c?101077382-cMdt7BeRhDrDI%404241339-zTwhcA5rJlNJw

VENEZUELA: The Miami Herald reports Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez is moving to further tighten controls on adversarial media and his opponents more generally. http://m1e.net/c?101077382-CZiONPu9fXQpo%404241340-QqzqUL6LrPekE

EUROPE: Britain Growth Forecasts

The Bank of England cut its economic growth estimates and said recovery from the current recession could take longer than it had previously predicted (FT). http://m1e.net/c?101077382-HkENJ8rwB0rtw%404241341-ZxWdUKUwrDy/A

RUSSIA: The Economist reports political flare-ups in Georgia point to new tensions between Russia and its neighbors. http://m1e.net/c?101077382-wIMw0dKu9fuLQ%404241342-0DI0Rg3UL5fQM

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